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GLOBAL BUSINESS & MARKETS

Global Business Research article

Alphabet Q3 results: Google Cloud doubles, shares slide on capex

Alphabet Q3 results: revenue rose 25% to $127.6bn and Google Cloud doubled to $30.7bn, but $51.4bn capex pushed free cash flow negative and shares fell.

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AI-assisted research analysis by FutureKnowledge. Sources checked 29 October 2026. This is not investment advice.

Reviewed by FutureKnowledge: figures, dates and attributions were checked against the linked sources before publication.

Alphabet reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $127.6 billion, up 25%, as Google Cloud sales doubled to $30.7 billion, yet its shares fell sharply after hours on record capital spending and negative free cash flow. The results, released on 28 October, show a company growing faster than at any point in years while spending more than it earns in cash to build AI capacity.

Alphabet Q3 results: the key numbers

According to Alphabet’s earnings release for the quarter ended 30 September, the headline figures compared with a year earlier were:

  • Revenue: $127.58 billion, up 25% from $102.35 billion.
  • Google Cloud revenue: $30.71 billion, up 103% from $15.16 billion, with segment operating income of $11.12 billion against $3.59 billion.
  • Google Search and other: $63.35 billion, up 12%. YouTube ads rose about 9% to $11.21 billion.
  • Operating income: $40.58 billion, up 30%, for an operating margin of about 32%.
  • Net income: $26.17 billion, down 25%, and diluted EPS of $2.12 against $2.87.
  • Capital expenditure: $51.36 billion, more than double the $23.95 billion a year earlier.
  • Free cash flow: negative $9.07 billion, as operating cash flow of $42.29 billion fell short of capex.

Chief executive Sundar Pichai said in the release that Alphabet is now on a “half-trillion dollar revenue run rate.” No shares were repurchased in the quarter, compared with $11.5 billion of buybacks a year earlier, though the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share.

Why Alphabet shares fell despite faster growth

Class A shares were trading at $294.20 at 4:41 p.m. New York time, 9.4% below the $324.89 close, StockTitan reported. Fortune put the after-hours low at about 8% at the time of its report; reports differ on the exact size of the move, and the regular-session reaction on 29 October is still to come. Three factors stood out.

1. Cash burn is widening

Capex has now exceeded operating cash flow for a second straight quarter, The Tech Capital noted. Free cash flow went from negative $5.86 billion in the second quarter to negative $9.07 billion in the third, compared with a positive $24.46 billion a year earlier. On the earnings call, finance chief Anat Ashkenazi kept 2026 capex guidance at $195 billion to $205 billion and said Alphabet expects capex “to increase significantly in 2027,” according to a call transcript published by TradingKey. StockTitan calculated that hitting the 2026 range implies fourth-quarter spending of roughly $63 billion to $73 billion.

2. Search growth slowed

Search and other revenue grew 12%, down from 19% in the first quarter and 17% in the second, StockTitan reported, while YouTube ad growth eased to 9% from 13%. On the call, management cited currency, Asia-Pacific retail advertisers and normalised media spending after the FIFA World Cup, and said AI Mode queries currently monetise at lower rates. Management also said search query growth reached a five-year high, so the slowdown is in pricing and ad demand rather than usage.

3. A large mark-to-market loss

Other income was negative $8.22 billion, driven by an $8.66 billion loss on equity securities, against a $10.73 billion gain a year earlier, the release shows. Management attributed this mainly to an unrealised loss on Alphabet’s SpaceX stake after a fall in its valuation during the quarter, per the transcript. Fortune estimated that the equity loss reduced EPS by about 55 cents. It is a non-operating paper loss. FutureKnowledge earlier covered SpaceX’s $40 billion GPU lease with Apollo.

Revenue was also marginally below the $127.9 billion consensus compiled by S&P Global Visible Alpha, Fortune reported.

Google Cloud: the bright spot

Cloud growth has accelerated from 63% in the first quarter to 82% in the second and 103% in the third, according to StockTitan, and the segment’s operating margin widened to 36.2% from 23.7% a year earlier. Management said sales of tensor processing unit (TPU) systems were a meaningful contributor, with nearly 100 customers using TPUs, and that most system-sale revenue is expected through 2027. Cloud backlog stood at $561 billion at quarter-end, of which just over 55% is expected to be recognised within 24 months, per the call transcript; that compares with $514 billion at the end of June cited by StockTitan. Alphabet also said the Gemini app has reached 1 billion users.

What it means for India and for businesses

Google has committed about $15 billion over 2026-2030 to an AI hub and data centre campus in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh, its largest investment outside the US. A capex budget that is still rising into 2027 suggests such projects remain funded.

For Indian advertisers and publishers, the slower search and YouTube growth, and the lower monetisation of AI Mode queries, are worth watching because they shape ad pricing and referral traffic. For enterprises, a cloud backlog of more than half a trillion dollars indicates that AI compute remains capacity-constrained, which tends to support pricing for compute and memory suppliers; FutureKnowledge covered that dynamic in SK hynix’s record third quarter.

Who is more or less exposed

  • More exposed to upside from the capex cycle: chip, memory, power and data-centre construction suppliers, whose order books depend on hyperscaler budgets.
  • More exposed to search softness: businesses dependent on search advertising volumes and pricing, including ad agencies and publishers reliant on Google referrals.
  • Less directly exposed: companies buying cloud capacity on long contracts, for whom Alphabet’s balance-sheet strain is unlikely to change near-term service delivery.

Scenarios to watch (conditional scenarios, not predictions)

If… Then a plausible outcome is…
Cloud growth stays near 100% and backlog keeps rising Investors may treat negative free cash flow as a timing issue rather than a structural one
Search growth slows further in Q4 against tough comparisons Pressure on Alphabet to show AI Mode monetisation catching up
2027 capex guidance on the Q4 call is far above 2026 Questions about funding mix, buybacks and returns on AI spending intensify
SpaceX’s valuation recovers The equity-securities loss could reverse into a gain, flattering reported EPS

What to watch next

  • The regular-session share reaction on 29 October and analyst estimate revisions.
  • The Form 10-Q for full backlog detail and investee disclosures.
  • Results from other hyperscalers this week, including Meta, which plans a large equity raise to fund AI, for a read on industry-wide spending.
  • 2027 capex guidance, which management said will come on the fourth-quarter call.

Bottom line

Alphabet’s third quarter combined its strongest cloud quarter yet with its weakest cash generation in years. Google Cloud doubling and a $561 billion backlog show strong demand for AI infrastructure; slowing search growth, negative free cash flow and a promise of significantly higher capex in 2027 show what it costs.

Method note: This analysis compared Alphabet’s Q3 2026 earnings release (primary source) with reporting by Fortune, StockTitan and The Tech Capital, and a TradingKey transcript of the earnings call. Where after-hours price moves differed between reports, both are cited. India investment details are from Google’s own announcement.

Sources & further reading

  1. s206.q4cdn.com479360582/files/doc_financials/2026/q3/2026q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf
  2. fortune.com2026/10/28/alphabet-google-stock-drops-cloud-revenue-doubles-free-cash-flow-negative
  3. stocktitan.netarticles/alphabet-q3-2026-earnings-google-cloud-doubles-search-slows
  4. thetechcapital.comgoogle-cloud-q3-2026-revenue-capital-spending
  5. tradingkey.comnews/transcripts/262249599-tradingkey
  6. blog.googleintl/en-in/company-news/our-first-ai-hub-in-india-powered-by-a-15-billion-investment
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