{"id":2779,"date":"2026-08-03T03:32:07","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:32:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/?p=2779"},"modified":"2026-08-03T03:32:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:32:07","slug":"chinas-solar-industry-is-losing-money-the-country-is-doubling-down-anyway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/?p=2779","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s solar industry is losing money. The country is doubling down anyway."},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">Cheap, abundant Chinese solar panels have become essential to decarbonizing the global energy system. Without them, the world\u2019s clean energy transition would have arguably been slower and more expensive. But China\u2019s solar manufacturing industry now faces a bizarre problem: oversupply. Chinese solar manufacturers have built far more production capacity than the market can absorb. In fact, China now has enough factories to meet roughly twice the global demand for solar products, according to an analysis by the research firm Rhodium Group. If all newly announced factories get built, the country\u2019s manufacturing capacity could double, further widening the gap between supply and demand.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">The market imbalance has put Chinese solar panel makers in a precarious position. Market analysts and company executives say the industry\u2019s central problem \u2014 a massive oversupply of panels \u2014 has triggered vicious \u201cprice wars\u201d between competing companies and sent prices plummeting. In the first quarter of 2026, the country\u2019s solar manufacturers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yicaiglobal.com\/news\/chinese-solar-giants-post-combined-usd15-billion-loss-in-first-quarters-as-industry-woes-deepen\">announced $1.5 billion in losses<\/a>, an extension of roughly three years of continuous unprofitability. Industry behemoths like JinkoSolar and Longi have also been facing slowing installations in China, U.S. trade barriers, and weaker global demand.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere&#8217;s been an enormous amount of price wars internally in China, with companies just slashing prices to very, very low levels,\u201d said Hannah Pitt, director of the energy and climate practice at Rhodium Group.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">Chinese officials have spent years trying to curb the cutthroat competition, stem overproduction, and stabilize prices, with little success. For all but the most advanced solar products, prices kept falling, and companies kept building new facilities. Regional governments, which have invested heavily in solar supply chains, have been hesitant to trim local development. Some manufacturers even built illegal factories or produced panels without permits, according to reporting by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/economy\/china-economy\/article\/3354551\/how-illegal-factories-are-undermining-chinas-solar-overcapacity-crackdown\">South China Morning Post<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Everyone is wondering how long this can last,&#8221; said Martin Schachinger, a solar product wholesaler based in Germany. \u201cEven TaleSun, a manufacturer we expected to go out of the market five years ago, still exists. So, it&#8217;s a little bit &#8230; spooky.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">China designated solar a strategic industry in 2010, prompting massive public investment. Local governments subsidized manufacturers, while private investors expanded every stage of the supply chain in anticipation of booming global demand. The resulting manufacturing ecosystem allowed Chinese firms to produce extraordinarily cheap solar panels for both domestic and international markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">But production soon outpaced global demand, triggering a fierce battle as manufacturers slashed prices to win customers. The Chinese government dubbed this self-defeating competition <em>neijuan<\/em>, meaning &#8220;involution,&#8221; a term originally coined by Chinese students describing the relentless pressure to succeed with diminishing returns. Involution is a common trend in Chinese industries that receive heavy public support, including other clean energy sectors such as batteries and electric vehicles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">For the United States and the rest of the globe, the oversupply has meant consistent availability of cheap solar panels and components that boosted the adoption of renewable energy. Solar panels provided more electricity in the United States than coal for the <a href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/solutions\/for-first-time-americans-are-getting-more-of-their-electricity-from-solar-than-coal\/?utm_source=syndication&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=grist\">first time on record<\/a> in May, according to analysis of government data by Ember, an energy think tank. Globally, clean power sources, of which solar is the fastest growing, met all new electricity demand around the world in 2025, staving off an increase in fossil fuel generation. It\u2019s helped China, the world\u2019s largest net emitter of <span class=\"tooltipsall tooltipsincontent classtoolTips3\">greenhouse gases<\/span>, flatten its emissions growth, too. The country\u2019s emissions appear to have plateaued and <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/11022026\/china-greenhouse-gas-emissions-offset-by-clean-energy\/\">could soon peak<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">If Chinese officials correct the oversupply problem, it could cool some of that rapid solar deployment. But experts say China is more focused on advancing its solar industry than rightsizing it, meaning the cheap solar panel prices may continue for years.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-in-article-recirc\">\n<article class=\"in-article-recirc\">\n    <span class=\"in-article-recirc__label\">Read Next<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"in-article-recirc__content\">\n<p>            <a class=\"in-article-recirc__art\" href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/energy\/data-centers-electricity-power-coal-emissions-climate-report\/?utm_source=syndication&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=grist\"><\/p>\n<figure>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/US-tech-coal-power-AI-data-center.jpg\" alt=\"Smoke billows out of the stacks at a coal plant against a cloudy blue sky\" class=\"js-modal-gallery__hidden\" height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"><br \/>\n        <\/figure>\n<p>      <\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"in-article-recirc__body\">\n<div class=\"in-article-recirc__title\">\n                    <a class=\"in-article-recirc__title-link\" href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/energy\/data-centers-electricity-power-coal-emissions-climate-report\/?utm_source=syndication&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=grist\">It\u2019s official: Data centers are slowing America\u2019s shift away from coal<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n<div class=\"in-article-recirc__meta\">\n<div class=\"tease-meta\">\n                            <a class=\"byline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/author\/jake-bittle\/\" \/>Jake Bittle<\/a>              <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">Chinese officials have called for \u201cconcerted efforts\u201d to rein in solar production as recently as April. But the country\u2019s broader industrial policies and stated goals seem to be leaning away from strict discipline, focusing instead on upgrading solar supply chains to produce more advanced technologies, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/rhg.com\/research\/chinas-next-generation-industrial-policy\/\">May report<\/a> by Rhodium Group. In other words, the oversupply problem isn\u2019t scaring China away from its big bets on solar. In fact, its latest five-year plan signals that China will continue supporting its massive clean energy industries, including solar, <a href=\"https:\/\/rhg.com\/research\/chinas-next-generation-industrial-policy\/\">\u201coptimizing and upgrading\u201c<\/a> those industries rather than clamping down on their oversupply.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt&#8217;s a really interesting moment right now across Chinese industries. Instead of just trying to consolidate, Beijing is pushing industries to go further, to move into more advanced manufacturing,\u201d said Pitt.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">The strategy stands in stark contrast to the United States&#8217; steady solar manufacturing growth, which relies on market conditions rather than government support. Over the past year, the Trump administration and Congress have weakened policy incentives for solar, cutting back tax credits expanded in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act and impeding solar development on federal land. <\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">But demand for cheap solar has <a href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/energy\/solar-power-industry-trump-data-centers\/?utm_source=syndication&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=grist\">kept the industry growing<\/a>. Unlike China\u2019s self-sufficient solar empire, U.S. producers can\u2019t meet all domestic demand for solar panels and are still heavily reliant on foreign components, primarily from China. While the U.S. pursues a slower, market-led approach, China has chosen a long-term state strategy that prioritizes manufacturing dominance over near-term profits.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">That manufacturing dominance is especially important now that other countries are pushing back against China\u2019s near-monopoly in the industry. The country\u2019s efforts to upgrade its supply chains and move into higher-value products could help it stay ahead as new technologies reshape the solar market and countries attempt to build their own competing industries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf a solar company in Europe doesn\u2019t make a joint venture with Chinese companies and use the huge advantages of the Chinese systems, then it won&#8217;t be successful,\u201d said Schachinger. \u201cFrom time to time, Indian manufacturers try to step into the European market, but against Chinese products, they have no advantages, and the prices are higher.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">That means if unsustainable business models or geopolitical tensions don\u2019t spoil the boom, the world will have at least a few more years of low-cost Chinese solar products to supply its <span class=\"tooltipsall tooltipsincontent classtoolTips4\">decarbonization<\/span> goals, experts suspect.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThis isn&#8217;t over yet,\u201d Pitt said. \u201cI think the data points to prices remaining low for the foreseeable future.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-default-font-family wp-block-paragraph\">\n<p> toolTips(&#8216;.classtoolTips3&#8242;,&#8217;Carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and other gases that prevent heat from escaping Earth\u2019s atmosphere. Together, they act as a blanket to keep the planet at a liveable temperature in what is known as the \u201cgreenhouse effect.\u201d Too many of these gases, however, can cause excessive warming, disrupting fragile climates and ecosystems.&#8217;);  toolTips(&#8216;.classtoolTips4&#8242;,&#8217;The process of reducing the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that drive climate change, most often by deprioritizing the use of fossil fuels like oil and gas in favor of renewable sources of energy.&#8217;); <\/p>\n<p class=\"grist-story-credit\">This story was originally published by <a href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\">Grist<\/a> with the headline <a href=\"https:\/\/grist.org\/energy\/chinas-solar-industry-is-losing-money-the-country-is-doubling-down-anyway\/\">China\u2019s solar industry is losing money. The country is doubling down anyway.<\/a> on Jul 29, 2026.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href='https:\/\/grist.org\/energy\/chinas-solar-industry-is-losing-money-the-country-is-doubling-down-anyway\/' target='_blank'>Read the original article on grist.org<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cheap, abundant Chinese solar panels have become essential to decarbonizing the global energy system. Without them, the world\u2019s clean energy transition would have arguably been slower and more expensive. But China\u2019s solar manufacturing industry now faces a bizarre problem: oversupply. Chinese solar manufacturers have built far more production capacity than the market can absorb. In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36,3],"tags":[22,29,33],"class_list":["post-2779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-share-suggestions","category-technology","tag-impact-uso","tag-signal-avoid","tag-stage-stage-4"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2779","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2779"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2779\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureknowledge.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}