Australia\u2019s bird population will experience \u2018large mortalities\u2019 and risk species loss, modelling based on global outbreaks shows<\/p>\n
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Sandwich terns are a graceful seabird known for their committed, forceful and spectacular plunging dives into the ocean to catch fish.<\/p>\n
Thousands of the species started to fall sick across Europe in 2022 with tens of thousands dying as a lineage of the H5N1 bird flu \u2013 2.3.4.4b \u2013 spread through the continent\u2019s wild flocks.<\/p>\n
The effects of the virus on the brain cause the terns to flounder on the ground, craning and straining their necks in a suffering behaviour known as star-gazing. It is difficult to watch.<\/p>\n
\u201cI remember a colony at Scolt Head Island in Norfolk,\u201d says Prof James Pearce-Higgins, the director of science at the British Trust for Ornithology.<\/p>\n
\u201cYou had adult terns trying to mate with dead terns and chicks begging for food from their dying parents.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt was a real sense of a colony collapse as you watched this transfer of the virus between birds.\u201d<\/p>\n
Sandwich terns are close relatives of greater crested terns, which are seen all around Australia and were the first native bird to suffer a mass mortality event from the disease in Australia on South Australia\u2019s Limestone Coast.<\/p>\n
Since the virus re-emerged in Europe in 2021 it has swept over every other continent, killing millions of birds and mammals, and infecting more than 400 bird species as well as mammals \u2013 in particular, seals and sea lions.<\/p>\n
The virus was finally detected in Australia two months ago in migratory seabirds that likely brought the disease from breeding grounds in the subantarctic.<\/p>\n
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This week, the federal government revealed analysis of the potential threat to Australia\u2019s wildlife which showed almost 400 species of birds and mammals were at \u201chigh risk\u201d or worse if they caught the disease.<\/p>\n
One expert who worked on the analysis, Prof John Woinarski of Charles Darwin University, tells the Guardian he expects the disease will have spread across the continent within a year.<\/p>\n
Pearce-Higgins says: \u201cI would expect Australia is going to experience large mortalities, like those we have been through, and it\u2019s going to put some species at risk.\u201d<\/p>\n