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2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Thursday with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million […]

By deepak · August 11, 2026 · 4 min read

The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Thursday with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome. 

Scottie Scheffler, who is atop the points leaderboard, is also the favorite this week at +500 (risk $100 to win $500) in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Other top PGA contenders this week include Rory McIlroy (+1300) and Xander Schauffele (+1800). Before locking in any 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters — its fifth Masters in a row — as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. 

Now that the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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One major surprise the model is calling for: Schauffele, who has the third-lowest odds this week at +2000, doesn't even crack the top 10. Schauffele finished second at the Rocket Classic a couple weeks back, but that was his first top-10 finish since May. He's also winless during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule. He finished T2 at this event in 2024, though he hasn't finished inside the top 20 in any of his three other appearances, so the model doesn't like him at these lower odds this week. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +2200, saying he's a top-3 contender. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open and the Open Championship. He ranks 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting, both metrics that make him a top contender at TPC Southwind this week. See who else to pick here. 

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The model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here. 

Who will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

Get full 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +500Rory McIlroy +1300Xander Schauffele +2000Hideki Matsuyama +2200Tommy Fleetwood +2200Cameron Young +2200Sam Burns +2200Collin Morikawa +2500Ludvig Åberg +2500Matt Fitzpatrick +2500Justin Thomas +2700Si Woo Kim +3000Russell Henley +3300Chris Gotterup +3300Patrick Cantlay +3300Viktor Hovland +3500Wyndham Clark +4000Tom Kim +4000Jackson Koivun +4000Robert MacIntyre +4500Michael Brennan +4500Ryan Gerard +5500Min Woo Lee +5500J.J. Spaun +5500Maverick McNealy +5500Michael Thorbjornsen +5500Rickie Fowler +5500Ben Griffin +5500Kurt Kitayama +6000Justin Rose +6000Aaron Rai +6000Sungjae Im +6000Akshay Bhatia +6000Alex Fitzpatrick +6500Bud Cauley +8000Corey Conners +8000Shane Lowry +8000Alex Smalley +8000Alex Noren +8000Harris English +8000Jacob Bridgeman +8000Keith Mitchell +8000Jake Knapp +8000Kristoffer Reitan +8000Ryan Fox +10000Jordan Spieth +10000Eric Cole +10000Nicolai Højgaard +10000J.T. Poston +10000Jordan Smith +10000Adam Scott +10000Gary Woodland +10000Ryo Hisatsune +12500Brian Harman +12500Michael Kim +12500Sahith Theegala +12500Harry Hall +12500Nico Echavarria +12500Matt McCarty +17500Ricky Castillo +17500Max Homa +17500Nick Taylor +17500Sepp Straka +17500Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500Samuel Stevens +22500Matti Schmid +25000Pierceson Coody +25000Aldrich Potgieter +35000Patrick Rodgers +50000

Source: Read the original article on www.cbssports.com